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Reload your portfolio with stock repair strategy

Posted on 24 April 2009 by Hiral Thanawala

Whether bear or bull, in stock markets people have strategies to make money. . One of the traditional strategies in the Bear market many of us have heard is of “Doubling down Strategy” i.e. whenever there is a decline in stock prices - . buy stocks which already are in loss due to decline is prices and reduce the average costs of this purchase. Can derivatives help to beat this strategy?

There is a strategy in derivatives known as “Stock Repair Strategy” to overcome the losses suffered due to wrong timing of purchase.

Here the basic concept needs to be understood before we move on to explain the Stock Repair Strategy:

Option Spread: It is created by the simultaneous purchase and sale of options of the same class on the same underlying security but with different strike prices and/or expiration dates.

Call Spread: A spread that is constructed using calls which can be referred to as a call spread.

At-the-money call: A call option is at the money when the common stock price is equal to the strike price.

Out-of-the-money call: A call option is out of the money when the strike price is greater than the market price of the underlying interest.

How does Stock Repair Strategy work?

In Stock Repair Strategy one has to buy one At-the-Money (ATM) call simultaneously selling two Out-of-the-Money (OTM) call options on the same stock, in the same month. One must make sure to purchase exactly equivalent amount of at-the-money call options as shares of stock they are holding in their demat accounts.

Lets take an example to understand this in detail:

Mr. X bought 200 shares of ABC Company at Rs.2500 each so total cost is Rs.500000 and it declined to Rs.2000 each, losing Rs.100000 for example. Mr. X wants to recover this loss using through the strategy then Mr. X will have to buy 2 ATM call contracts (100 shares each) of ABC Co. at Rs.2000 as strike price valued at Rs.200.

Then Mr. X would sell 4 OTM call contracts (100 shares each) of ABC Co. at Rs.2250 as strike price valued at Rs.100.

What is cost for this trade?

(Premium of OTM x number of shares in contract) - (Premium of ATM x number of shares in contract)

i.e. (Rs.100 x 400) - (Rs.200 x 200) = Rs.0

The nearest OTM options normally cost half the price of the ATM options. So, in the above example Rs.100 is taken for OTM.

What is the Computing break-even point in this strategy?

Lets assume Stock of ABC Company rises to Rs.2250 from Rs.2000 by the expiry of contract period. The 4 OTM contracts of Rs.2250 strike call options would expire valueless while the 2 ATM call options of Rs.2000 will expire in the money of Rs.250 each contract. Exercising ATM call will give the options trader a profit of Rs.50000 (Rs.250 x 200). Investors stock position has also regained from Rs.2000 to Rs.2250 therefore this value will be again Rs.50000. Adding both this amounts will give a total gain of Rs.100000 which is equivalent to total loss of Rs.100000. So, it can be observed by mere movement i.e. achieving break-even at reduced price in this strategy have ‘repaired’ investors stock.

Considering a scenario if stock price rise strongly, then what will happen?

Lets assume stock price of ABC Company bounced strongly and is now trading at Rs.3000 on expiration. Here, all the call options will expire in the money but Mr. X has sold more call options than purchased, investor requires buy-back of the written calls at a loss. Investors 4 OTM call written is now worth Rs.750 each i.e. Rs.300000 (Rs.750 x 400) but investors 2 ATM call is only worth Rs.1000 each i.e. Rs.200000 (Rs.1000 x 200). So, it seems investor has suffered a loss of Rs.100000 from this strategy but this loss can be offset by the gain from his stock position. The stock price has moved from Rs.2000 to Rs.3000 i.e. a gain of Rs.200000 (Rs.1000 x 200 stocks). So, offsetting loss of Rs.100000 on this strategy investor remains with a net profit of Rs.100000, which can be considered as recovery of initial loss for an investor for this stock before applying this strategy.

Two main reasons for considering stock repair strategy as better alternative to follow:-

1) Investor buy one option and sell two options, so that investors do not have to put up additional capital as would have been in the case of doubling down strategy. Investor just needs to put out a small amount of money if the 1 by 2 spread produces a debit which will be much lower compare to another bulk of stocks purchased from secondary stock markets.

2) In this strategy investor will recover from losses with less of an upward move in stock prices. For example, if investor had purchased stocks, which are now down by 10% since its purchase investor with the help of this strategy can recover 10% loss as long as that company stock rises by about 5%.

When an investor should implement this strategy?

To recover losses in stock would be the trigger when this stock market is expected to rise moderately due to events of global economic improvisation / stability, political stability of new government, expecting rise in our GDP numbers, rise in profit numbers of companies, etc.

To conclude, there is no downside risk by applying this strategy. When the stock price moved up strongly investor still achieved the break-even. If the stock price had gone down at expiration, then all the options involved would expire worthless and so there will be no further loss by executing this strategy.

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Strap Strategy

Posted on 16 December 2008 by Hiral Thanawala

The ‘Strap’ strategy is one that can be beneficial in a bullish market. This is the bullish adaptation of the straddle strategy. It involves buying a number of at-the-money puts and twice that number of calls of the same underlying stock, at the same strike price and expiration date.

This strategy will play a vital role to earn good profits from equity/commodity markets when our GDP numbers are getting stronger, micro and macro economic indicators are stabilizing and improving, profits and sales are increasing, and FII/HNI participation to invest in these markets. In the near term, it seems difficult to implement this strategy since market is in bear mode. But economists expect a clearer picture of economic growth by end of Q2, 2009 for the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India, China) countries. So, keep the knowledge of this strategy in the mean time and implement it at the right time to gain the advantage - when you are convinced that it is a bull market rally and direction of the market in near term will remain upwards.

Profit Potentiality: This strategy has the potential to create large amounts of profit when the underlying stock price makes a strong move either upwards or downwards at expiration, with greater gains to be made with an upward move.

Risk: The risk is limited in this strategy. The maximum loss for the strap occurs when the underlying stock price on expiration date is trading at the strike price of the call and put options purchased. At this price, all the options expire worthless and the options trader losses the net premium and commissions paid to enter the trade.

Computation of break-even points:

There are 2 break-even points for the strap option strategy. The break-even points can be computed as given below:

  • Upper break-even point = Strike price of calls/puts + (Net premium paid/2)
  • Lower break-even point = Strike price of calls/puts - Net premium paid

Example:

Consider, ABC stock is trading at Rs. 1000 in December. An options trader implements a strap by buying two January calls for Rs. 60 per share as premium for strike price of Rs. 1000 and a January put for Rs. 50 per share as premium for strike price of Rs. 1000. The net debit taken to enter the trade is Rs. 17000. Assume market lot size as 100 shares.

If ABC stock price reduces to Rs.500 on expiration in January, the January call will expire worthless but the January put expires in-the-money and possesses intrinsic value of Rs. 50,000 (Rs. 500 decline is stock price x 100 lot size). Reducing the initial debit of Rs.17000 the strap’s profit will be Rs.33000.

If ABC stock is trading at Rs.1500 on expiration in January, the January puts will expire worthless but the January two call expires in the money and has an intrinsic value of 1 lakh (i.e. Rs. 50000 x 2 call options). Reducing the initial debit of Rs. 17000 the strap’s profit will be Rs. 83000.

On expiration in January, if ABC stock is still trading at Rs. 1000, both the January puts and the January call will expire worthless and strap will suffer the loss of the Rs.17000 that was paid as premium to enter the trade.

The 2 break-even point in this case will be:

  • Upper break-even point = Rs. 1000 (strike price) + Rs. 85 (Net premium paid /2) = Rs. 1085.
  • Lower break-even point = Rs. 1000 (strike price) - Rs. 170 (Rs. 60 x 2 call premium + Rs. 50 put premium) = Rs. 830.

In this example the stock has to break the price band of Rs. 830 to Rs. 1085 to be profitable i.e. decline below Rs. 830 or appreciate beyond Rs. 1085. If the stock price fails to break the price band upper and lower BEP investors will end up losing the entire premium paid for executing this strategy.

The strap strategy can be the right option-trading approach for investors who are bullish on the market and expect it to move upwards in the near future.

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Strip Strategy

Posted on 09 December 2008 by Hiral Thanawala

One strategy that could to benefit in this bearish trend would be the ’strip’ strategy. This strategy is considered the bear market adaptation of the ‘straddle‘ strategy. It’s developed on the concepts of ‘at-the-money’ and ‘in-the-money.’ Let us focus on the terms that require understanding before moving to the actual strategy.

Strike Price: The price at which the option holder can buy or sell the item underlying the option from the writer of that option.

Example
An ABC 50 call option gives the holder the right to purchase 100 shares of ABC stock at a price of Rs. 50 per share. On the other hand, an ABC 40 put option gives the holder the right to sell 100 shares of ABC at a price of Rs. 40 per share.

At-the-money: Options are defined ‘at the money’ when the common stock price is equal to the strike price.

In-the-money: A call option is defined ‘in the money’ when the strike price is less than the market price of the stock. A put option is in the money when the strike price is greater than the market price of the stock.

Ok, that’s clear, then? Let’s move ahead to our main plot.

Strip strategy involves buying a number of at-the-money calls and twice the number of puts of the same underlying stock, strike price, and expiration date.

Investors can take the most benefit from this strategy whenever the market has a bounce back. This could happen due to measures such as CRR rate cuts, Repo rate and Reverse Repo rate cuts, PLR and SLR rate cuts by the RBI to increase the liquidity for banks and investors, the government announcing stimulus packages for certain sectors, or steps taken by the US central bank to make the global financial market stabilize. This would be the right time to execute this strategy if, as an investor, you are convinced that it is a bear market relief rally and direction of the market in the near term is going to remain south.

Profit Potentiality: This strategy has the potential for large amounts of profit when the underlying stock price makes a strong move either upwards or downwards at expiration, with greater gains to be made with a downward move.

Risk: The risk is limited in this strategy. The maximum loss for the strip occurs when the underlying stock price on expiration date is trading at the strike price of the call and put options purchased. At, this price all the options expire worthless and the customer losses the net premium and commissions paid.

Computation of break-even points: There are 2 break-even points for the strip option strategy. The break even points can be computed as given below:

  • Upper break-even point (BEP) = Strike price of calls/puts + net premium paid
  • Lower break-even point = Strike price of calls/puts - (net premium paid/2)

Example: ABC stock is trading at Rs. 2000 in December. An options trader implements a strip strategy buying two January puts for Rs. 120 per share as premium for strike price of Rs. 2000 and a January call for Rs. 100 per share as premium for the same strike price. The net debit taken to enter the trade is Rs. 34,000. The market lot size as 100 shares.

If ABC stock is trading at Rs. 2500 on expiration in January, the January puts will expire worthless but the January call expires in the money and has an intrinsic value of Rs. 50,000 (500 rise in per stock price x 100 lot size). Subtracting the initial debit of Rs. 34,000 the strip’s profit will be Rs. 16,000.

If ABC stock price reduces to Rs.1500 on expiration in January, the January call will expire worthless but the two January puts expires ‘in the money’ and possess intrinsic value of Rs. 1 lakh (i.e. Rs. 50,000 x 2 put options). Reducing the initial debit of Rs. 34,000 the strip’s profit will be Rs. 66,000.

On expiration in January, if ABC stock is still trading at Rs. 2000, both the January puts and the January call will expire worthless and strip will suffer the loss of the Rs. 34,000 paid as premium to enter the trade.
The 2 break-even points in this case will be:

  • Upper break-even point = Rs.2000 (strike price) + Rs. 340 (Rs. 120 x 2 put premium + Rs. 100 call premium) = Rs. 2340.
  • Lower break-even point = Rs.2000 (strike price) - Rs. 170 (Rs. 340 i.e. net premium/2) = Rs. 1830.

In this example the stock has to break the price band of Rs.1830 to Rs.2340 to be profitable i.e. decline below Rs. 1830 or appreciate beyond Rs. 2340. If the stock price fails to break the price band upper and lower BEP investors will end up losing the entire premium paid for executing this strategy.

The strip strategy could be the right option-trading approach for investors who are bearish on the market and expect it to correct in near future.

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Straddle Strategy

Posted on 08 November 2008 by Hiral Thanawala

The equity markets were up with a bang. The bulls had a party and celebrations post Diwali festival. It is considered as a remarkable recovery from the bottom. Well, it seems difficult to talk about whether this bull party will last for a long time. Global economic issues have still not been resolved and how much of that it’s going to affect other emerging markets, including India, is difficult to predict. The markets are facing many negative news and higher volatility in the day-to-day sessions. It’s getting difficult for investors to take a position in these market conditions. This is where the straddle strategy will play a vital role for the investors to hedge the position and profit from it.

This strategy is built on the concept of call and put options. Let’s understand what these mean before going in-depth to understand straddle.

Call Options - A call option gives its holder the right to buy a specified number of shares of the underlying stock at a predetermined price (strike price) between the date of purchase and the option’s expiration date.

Example: An investor who bought an ABC December 1000 call option would have the right, but not the obligation, to buy 100 shares of ABC common stock at a cost of Rs. 1000 per share at any time before the option expires in December.

The right to purchase common stock at a fixed price becomes more valuable as the price of the underlying common stock increases in the bullish trend.

Put Options - A put gives the holder the right to sell a specified number of shares of the underlying common stock at a predetermined price (strike price) on or before the expiration date of the contract.

Example: An investor who bought an ABC December 1000 put option would have the right, but not the obligation, to sell 100 shares of ABC common stock at a cost of Rs. 1000 per share at any time before the option expires in December.

The right to sell common stock at a fixed price becomes more valuable as the price of the underlying common stock decreases in the bearish trend.

Now let’s understand how the straddle strategy operates for investors. Fundamentally, a straddle is the simultaneous purchase of a call and a put on the same stock, with the identical strike price (the price at which the holder can sell or buy from the writer of the option) and expiration month. Typically, the buyer of a straddle anticipates a substantial movement in a stock but is uncertain what the direction will be. Because the investor is betting on an extraordinary stock movement in this the volatile markets. The probability of profiting is good.

A straddle buyer risks losing only the amount of premium (the price that the buyer of an option pays and the writer of the option receives). The maximum loss occurs only if the price of the stock on the expiration date of the options is exactly equal to the strike price. Although it is difficult to lose the entire premium paid for the straddle, it also can be difficult to make a profit. Either the put or the call side of a straddle is almost certain to expire worthless. As, a result, the stock has to move substantially for a profit to be made. Considering the trend of last few trading sessions there were many intense moves for investor. Therefore, it’s considered one of the best strategies to bet on these volatile markets, where the swing in stock prices to different levels in multiple/one trading session gives the opportunity for investors to fill their bag full of profits.

Example:

An investor purchases both a put and a call on a stock, paying Rs. 250 for the call and Rs. 200 for the put. Therefore, the total premium cost would be Rs. 450. Suppose the underlying stock’s price is Rs. 3000 and the strike price of the options is Rs. 3000. If the price of the stock rises above Rs. 3450 or drops below Rs. 2550, the investor will make a profit. Only if the stock expires at a strike price of Rs. 3000 will the investor lose the entire investment. The investor loses only part of the investment at any other price between Rs. 2550 and Rs. 3450.

The investor earns a profit if the stock sells at a price exceeding Rs. 3450 or drops to less than Rs. 2550. If the stock rises to Rs. 3750 per share and the investor exercises the call at Rs. 3000, the investors profit is Rs. 300 (Rs. 750 - Rs. 450 premium). Alternatively, if the stock drops to Rs. 2150 per share and the investor exercises his/her put at Rs. 3000, the profit is Rs. 400 (Rs. 850 - Rs. 450 premium). Thus, the investor is assured of a profit only if the stock moves by more than Rs. 450 in either direction.

The above strategy and example were discussed considering equity markets. This strategy is also useful to hedge a position on commodities in commodity market.

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Leverage: A double-edged sword

Posted on 05 November 2008 by Hiral Thanawala

The current scenario of equity, commodity and forex markets is very volatile. It’s extremely difficult for investors to speculate the direction where the market is heading. There are many investors on the global platform trading in the futures market. It is considered to be most risky and speculative of all the markets. Let’s go in little depth to understand the term futures market and its function before actually going to the concept of leverage.
Basically, a futures contract is an agreement between two parties that commits one party to sell a security or commodity to the other at a given price and on a specified future date. This makes it possible to transfer the risk from those who want to avoid it (hedgers) to those who are willing to accept it (speculators). Hedgers can be individuals or firms that make purchases and sales in the futures market solely for the purpose of establishing a price level months in advance for something they later intend to buy or sell in the cash market. Their sole purpose is to protect themselves against the risk of an unfavorable price change in the interim.

Example:
An individual enters into a futures contract to sell 100 shares of ABC Ltd. at Rs.1000 each after one month in the futures exchange. This contract protects the price he/she is intending to get for this stock in the period of one month.
With the basic plot of the futures market clear it will be easier to understand the concept of leverage in the futures market and why it is a double-edged sword. The leverage of futures trading results from the fact that only a relatively small amount of money (known as initial margin) is required to buy or sell a futures contract. For example, a deposit of only Rs.100,000 might enable an investor to buy a futures contract representing Rs.1,500,000 worth of a particular stock/commodity. The initial margin is typically 5 to 15 percent of the value of the underlying contract, although in some cases it is even more or less. The smaller the margin in relationship to the value of the futures contract, the greater will be the leverage and risk.


High leverage can produce large profits when compared to the initial margin if the speculator correctly anticipates the future price change. Alternatively, if prices move in the opposite direction from what was anticipated, the result would be large losses. Thus, the double-edged sword.

Another Example:
An investor anticipates rising stock prices and buys one December Nifty index futures contract (lot size: 100) at a time when the S&P Nifty is trading at 2800. The initial margin required is Rs.28000 (assuming 10% margin cost). The value of the Nifty futures contract is calculated by multiplying the current level of the S&P Nifty by 100 (the lot size) i.e. the contract value is Rs.280,000 (100 x 2800); each point change in the index represents Rs.100 gain or loss.
Therefore, an increase in the index from 2800 to 2850 would increase the investment (50 x Rs.100 per point) Rs.285,000 i.e. a profit of Rs.5,000. A decrease of S&P Nifty from 2800 to 2400 during a contract period in this volatile markets would wipe out the investment to (400 x Rs.100 per point) Rs.240,000 i.e. a loss of Rs.40,000.
Although, a futures contract provides exactly the same actual profit as owning or selling short the actual securities or commodities represented by the contract, the low initial margin magnifies the percentage profit or loss potential. So, it can be concluded that in this market, speculators must be prepared for the possibility of losing their investment in a single day. An investor who is not reconciled to that possibility should avoid this market altogether.

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The 90/10 Strategy

Posted on 22 October 2008 by Hiral Thanawala

Today, the equity market has been discounted by almost 50% from its peak. Investors are bearish to enter in this market. In the current scenario Indian equity markets are reacting with global cues. So, any positive cue of stabilization in global markets will start showing uptrend in our markets too. To take the advantage of this uptrend with minimum risk exposure in these scenario investors should follow the 90/10 strategy which will keep them in the loop. Now, there might be few questions rising in the mind of investors such as, what is 90/10 strategy? How they will be benefiting with this strategy?
Basically, the 90/10 strategy involves purchasing calls on the same number of shares of stock that would have been purchased outright, then investing the difference in a fixed income security such as government bonds. The name of the strategy is derived from the most common proportion in which the investments are allocated: 90 percent in government bonds and 10 percent in index or stock call options. This strategy is particularly appropriate for an investor who is not interested to risk his/her capital by investing in the stock market but wishes to participate in the growth of the stock market with limited risk exposure. Interest on the government bonds covers part of the possible loss on the calls. This strategy permits the investor to benefit from favorable stock price movements while limiting the downside risk to the call premium less any interest earned. It is particularly effective approach in periods of high interest rates because of greater interest income.

Example:
The common stock of ABC sells at Rs. 2000 per share. The purchase of 100 shares will cost Rs. 200,000. Let’s also assume that this investor’s upper limit on investment is Rs. 200,000.
Now, let’s assume that the stock call option’s strike price is fixed at Rs. 2000 per share, with a premium of Rs 200 per share. Therefore, if the investor wants to buy the hundred shares it would cost him/her just Rs. 20000. This, in turn, would leave him/her Rs. 180,000 to be invested in something safer, such as government bonds.
Suppose the government bonds mature in six months and earn 6 percent interest. The Rs. 180,000 would earn interest of Rs. 5400 (Rs. 1,80,000 x 0.06 x 6/12). This interest reduces the investor’s cost of the call to Rs. 14600 (Rs. 20000 - Rs. 5400). The Rs. 14600 also represents the investors maximum risk exposure compared to the Rs. 200,000 cost if the 100 shares were purchased outright.
The beauty of this strategy is that although the risk is limited, the potential capital appreciation is not. Once the market price of ABC increases beyond the strike price, the call buyer could realize the same rupee appreciation at expiration as that of an investor who owns 100 shares of the common stock. Therefore, this strategy limits risk to the net cost of the call while still enabling investors to realize capital appreciation.

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What’s going wrong in the US banking sector??!!

Posted on 01 October 2008 by Durva Lakhlani

We read it in the papers, see it in the news, hear about it everyday - ABC bank has gone bust; they are waiting for XYZ bank to be taken over etc.

What is happening with these companies and how did it all start?

Let us look at the basics of how this started.

For banks (lenders): About four years ago, banks came up with a new financial product and found that they could package the loans or other assets on their balance sheet and sell them in return for immediate liquidity. This would give them liquid funds which could be lent further to increase business.

Hence, with more funds at their disposal, they started lending more money, even to people who would not have been eligible borrowers otherwise. Loans were made to to people who did not have perfect or good credit history or a steady income stream; these were called sub-prime loans. Slowly various others such products related to loans were created and gained popularity; these products had higher risk but also higher returns for banks.
Meanwhile property prices were soaring. A look at the statistics shows property prices in the US (where this problem is the biggest) rose 53% in the five years ended December 2007. People, on the other hand, had started buying more homes with mortgage loans, now easily available from banks. The rise in property prices was not entirely due to healthy demand and supply factors, but more due to this easily available money. This fueled the construction industry, property markets, etc.

For investing companies (which included banks): The loans that were packaged (securitized) and sold by banks were held as collateral against which securities were issued to investors (which are generally financial companies). These securities, called asset backed securities (ABS), could be traded in the secondary market. The repayments on the loans that were held as the collateral would provide for returns and principal repayment to these investors.

Start of the crisis: As interest rates kept increasing, the monthly installments payable by mortgage loan borrowers started rising. Slowly, borrowers started defaulting on their loan repayments. This raised the level of non-performing assets or problem loans for banks.
These defaults also led to disturbance in the cash flow to ABS investors. The risks related to this type of securities increased and their market value consequently decreased. The investors started incurring losses which decreased the viability of these securities. Soon the market for these securities slackened and losses (both realized and marked to market) started eating into investors’ profits and affected capital negatively.
Besides, banks could no longer easily securitize their assets. This led to lower availability of funds and hence low business volumes. Since loan disbursement was now selective, investment in property was lower and property prices started declining due to lack of demand. This in turn decreased the value of collateral for mortgage loans given by banks and increased the risk attached.

Securitization of loans led to more funds with banks, higher and riskier lending, defaults on repayments, losses for banks and ABS investors which made a large hit on profits and capital. All these things were hence interlinked and one after the other led to weakening of the entire system.

Thanks to the more-than-adequate regulation by the RBI this has not happened in India. However, let’s see how much this affects Indian Banks and the economy indirectly.

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Personal Loan & Equity Investments

Posted on 22 September 2008 by Abhishek K Singh

Personal loans are gaining popularity among loan seekers in a big way. Be it planning a vacation or getting you daughter married, down payment of your new house or medical obligations, a personal loan may be used for any purpose. A personal loan may be a secured or an unsecured loan where the end use of the money is not supposed to be declared while taking the loan. The rate for unsecured personal loans ranges from about 15 % to 25 % per annum depending up on the credit history and the income of the loan seeker. This type of personal loan is more popular among the public.

The problem begins when people take these kinds of loans for investments into various instruments including equities. Markets have been pretty volatile for last few months and are expected to behave the same for quite some time. So if you planning to take a personal loan and invest in to equities of mutual funds thinking that the markets are at low then think again. The inflation rate has been moving up. The last numbers posted was well above 12%. With the growth in the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) around 8% to 9% the economy may see a negative growth in the current fiscal. The Reserve Bank of India has tried to tighten the liquidity situation by increasing the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) by 50 basis points. They may increase it by another 50 to 100 basis points if needed to keep a check on the inflation numbers. The condition worsens if the loan you have taken is on a floating interest rate. You end up losing money in the equity markets and pay more towards the loan at the same time. This is like being the rope in a tug of-war match where both sides are trying to pull you towards themselves to the fullest.

A better way to invest into equity market is by the way of arbitrage. It is buying in the cash market using the loan amount taken and selling it in derivative market by way of futures at a price which is more than the price bought added with the interest amount. On the day of maturity you reverse your position on both the markets and difference of the amount over and above the cash market price added with interest on the loan and the price sold in the futures market is your profit.

To explain arbitrage lets take the following example.

One lot of Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) is of 75 shares. Suppose the price of one RIL share is Rs. 2200 on 1st July, 2008. The maturity is on 31st July, 2008. The total amount of loan of 75 shares is (2200*75) = Rs. 165000. If the interest rate is 18% per annum then for one month the amount of interest is (165000*1.5%) = Rs. 2475 which is (2475/75) = Rs. 33 per share. Thus you need to short one lot of Reliance at any price which is more than (2200+33) = Rs. 2233. If you manage to short at a price say Rs. 2250, then you make a profit of (17*75) = Rs. 1275 on one lot which is almost 9.3% per annum. Now no matter what the price is on the expiry, you will manage to earn the amount stated above as you have already squared off your position.

The main thing over here is to find the right price to buy in the cash market and sell in the futures market. If you manage to hit the right price over the screen, then bingo! You have made money where everyone is losing it.

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Covered Call – An Option Strategy

Posted on 29 May 2008 by Ushma Shah

A covered call is an option strategy in which an investor buys an asset (long position in a stock) from the cash market and writes (sells or takes a short position) call options in the derivatives segment on the same asset. The potential obligation to deliver the stock is covered by the underlying stock in the portfolio; hence it is called a “covered” position. It is also called a “buy-write.” A buyer of a call option has the right, but not an obligation to buy the underlying asset. If one buys (i.e. goes long) a call option one is bullish on the asset, means he/she expecting the market to rise. In case one writes (sells or goes short) a call option, he/she is bearish on the asset, expecting the market to fall.

Let’s understand with an example how a covered call works.
ABC Ltd. shares are being traded at Rs. 38 (cash market price/spot price) and the June 40 call (strike price/exercise price) is being sold at a premium of Rs. 3. As one writes a call option, one receives the premium of Rs. 3. The maximum profit one can receive in this exercise is Rs. 5 i.e. the difference between the prices and the premium one receives writing the call. Now, if the spot price is, say, Rs. 42, the option will not be exercised, and what one receives is the premium amount only. Unlimited risk is not possible as one owes the underlying stock. One needs to buy minimum shares in the cash market equal to the lot size of that particular call option.

One of three situations can occur:

  • If the shares trade below the strike price, i.e. Rs.40, the option will expire worthless and what one receives is the premium from the option. In this case, one has outperformed the stock.
  • If the share prices fall, the option expires worthless and what one gains is the premium; again one has outperformed the stock.
  • If the share prices rise beyond Rs.40, the option is exercised. One loses in the option market, but gains in the cash market.

In options we have two values i.e. Intrinsic Value and the Time Value. If the stock is traded at Rs. 42, the June 40 call will have an intrinsic value of Rs. 2. If the calls are traded at Rs. 5 premium then the difference, i.e. Rs. 3, is the time value for the June 40 call.

The advantages of covered calls are that one can reduce the average cost of a stock in the portfolio and can generate income from the option premium. It is a strategy preferred by risk-averse investors. Normally, investors do it when they plan to sell a stock at a predetermined price. In such cases, the call written by them imposes self-discipline as it ensures that the stock is sold as a planned strategy. They enjoy the premium from the call options and the dividends till the time they hold the stock. The disadvantages are limited profits and the potential gains from the increase in the stock price (cash market) above the exercise prices are foregone. While using this strategy the trading costs should be taken in to account. A covered call strategy can be best used when one does not expect much movement in the stock price.

The author is a Research Analyst working at Apnaloan.com Services (P) Limited

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Hedging your portfolio

Posted on 29 May 2008 by Abhishek K Singh

Markets have been choppy for quite sometime now. The gap up and the gap downs have been happening more than often. The bounce back from the day’s low to the correction from the day’s high is a normal phenomenon these days. It is becoming really tough for anyone to predict the movements of the markets as the markets have mastered the art of taking everyone by surprise.

Now what to do in these kind of markets? Quite often I hear people saying that investments in equities should be done with a long term horizon and these short term corrections should not be a thing to worry about. I stand of the same opinion and completely agree to it that one should invest into equities with a long term horizon. But there are times when the markets dip to extremely low levels. The capital gains over more than a year or so is wiped of in less than a week.

The best way to save your money is by keeping your portfolio hedged. The simplest way to hedge your portfolio is by selling index futures. This essentially means that you sell index futures of the amount of the portfolio you have taking into consideration the beta of your portfolio.

Let’s look at an example to understand it better.
Suppose you have a portfolio with a value of Rs. 5 lakhs and the current value of the Nifty is 5000. The lot size for one Nifty future is 50 and the lot size for a mini Nifty is 20. The beta of the portfolio with regards to Nifty Fifty is of 1.2. A beta of 1.2 of your portfolio means that there will be a 1.2% change in the value of your portfolio for every percent change in the value of the Nifty Fifty.

Now you need to sell index futures worth (500000 * 1.2) = Rs. 600000.
The nifty spot is 5000. So you need to sell (600000/5000) = 120 Nifty. Lot size of Nifty Fifty is 50 and lot size of mini Nifty is 20. So you can sell 2 lots of Nifty and one lot of mini nifty.

This will help you to gain in both scenarios - of the market going in either direction. If the markets correct from here and you lose money on your portfolio, you will gain from the index future you have sold. If the markets go up from this point, you gain from the value of increase in your portfolio. And since the beta of your portfolio is 1.2 then you will stand to gain more as the increase in the value of the portfolio will be more than the increase in the value of the Nifty.

So, on expiry, irrespective of the markets moving in any direction you will tend to gain more if you have hedged your portfolio properly than by keeping you portfolio without hedging.

The author is a Research Analyst working at Apnaloan.com Services (P) Limited.

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